The conflict in western Sudan generated global headlines and
prompted a humanitarian response by governments, charities and
Hollywood celebrities such as George Clooney, Mia Farrow and Don
Cheadle.
But despite continuing efforts by activists and aid groups, Darfur seems to get little attention these days.
According
to Sudan's government, the war there is over. The international
community has shifted its focus from what the United States called
genocide in Darfur to broader Sudanese tensions -- a civil war between
the Khartoum government in the north and Southern Sudan that ended in
2005 but threatens to re-ignite.
"I would not say there is a war
going on in Darfur," Nigerian Gen. Martin Agwai said in August when he
stepped down as head of the joint U.N.-African Union peacekeeping
mission there. Instead, Agwai labeled the continuing violence, which he
blamed on banditry and local conflicts, as low intensity conflict.
Even the U.S. special envoy to Sudan,
retired Air Force Maj. Gen. Scott Gration, referred to the conflict as
"remnants of genocide" a few months ago, noting that rising violence in
Southern Sudan eclipsed levels in Darfur.
Analysts, aid workers
and others who know Darfur disagree, citing a litany of reasons why the
region renowned for human misery continues to pose a major threat to
the stability of the country, as well as East and Central Africa.
• There is no peace treaty in Darfur, only a broken agreement and repeated failed efforts to resume talks.
• People still die there, such as the five Rwandan peacekeepers killed in attacks last week.
•
The International Criminal Court issued an arrest warrant this year
accusing Sudanese President Omar al-Bashir of war crimes and crimes
against humanity in Darfur.
• Government and rebel forces have
battled intermittently throughout the year, forcing thousands more
villagers to flee to camps already bulging with more than 2 million
displaced people.
"It's very premature to say that the war is
over," said Alun McDonald of Oxfam, an international relief group that
works in Darfur. "In recent weeks, one of the camps where we work in
North Darfur had 6,000 people arrive. There are still clashes between
military groups, between different tribal groups."
People already feel neglected and marginalized, which is a key reason for the conflict in the first place.
--Alun McDonald
Eric Reeves, a professor at Smith College
in Northampton, Massachusetts, who wrote a book on the Darfur crisis,
said in an interview that more than six years of warfare has changed
the nature of the conflict.
The war began with Janjaweed Arab
militias backed by Bashir's military sweeping through Darfur in raids
against rebel movements and the civilian populations from which the
rebels emerged. Now it has bogged down into stalemate caused in part by
the destruction wrought so far, according to Reeves.
With
thousands of villages destroyed and almost half the estimated pre-war
population in camps, Bashir's government has few remaining "targets of
opportunity," Reeves said.
Only one rebel movement -- the
Justice and Equality Movement (JEM) -- is capable of offensive strikes
against the Sudan military and allied fighters, but it can't hold any
new positions taken, Reeves added.
"You have a stand-off," he said.
The
government says the six-year Darfur war killed 10,000 people, while the
United Nations and other international groups put the figure at
300,000. The death rate has decreased this year, but unrest continues.
Government
bombing of Muhajeriya, a rebel stronghold in South Darfur, in early
2009 forced thousands of people to leave, Reeves said.
Georgette
Gagnon, executive director of the Africa division of Human Rights
Watch, said government forces and allied militias attacked Jebel Marra,
another rebel stronghold in North Darfur, in September.
"Our research has shown that the situation in Darfur continues to be very insecure and abusive for Darfurians," Gagnon said.
The
type of fighting that characterized much of the war -- aerial bombings,
raids on villages -- has mostly halted in recent years "because the
population is largely displaced" in camps in Darfur and the neighboring
country of Chad, Gagnon said.
"But the war is far from over," she said.
Regardless
of the level of fighting, the humanitarian situation remains dire.
Bashir's government kicked out international aid agencies in March, and
while some have been allowed back, conditions at the displacement camps
vary and many are struggling to provide basic needs.
In an essay
published by the Sudan Tribune in September, Reeves wrote of the
misery: "Nor does 'low-intensity' describe the present soul-destroying
nature of existence within the camps: the relentless privations, the
pervasive threats to health, the loss of hope, the acute sense of
abandonment, and the anger and despair that relentlessly haunt daily
existence."
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