In his hectic, noisy laboratory at the University of Maryland,
Michael Pecht is wary when it comes to assessing whether Toyota's
suggested repair of sticky gas pedals will have any real impact.
"They
are in a bit of a quandary," said Pecht, a professor at Maryland's
Clark School of Engineering. "If they announce that electronics is a
problem, they are probably going to be in a lot of trouble, because
nobody's going to drive the car. So at this stage, they don't want to
announce there is any electronic problem."
But according to
Pecht, who is an expert in failure analysis and has written a book on
sudden acceleration in automobiles, complicated electronics -- not a
mechanical issue with the gas pedal -- lie at the heart of Toyota's
problems. And three other independent safety analysts contacted by CNN
also conclude that neither floor mats nor stuck gas pedals are an
overwhelming issue.
"From what people have told me about their
sudden acceleration incidents, most of them have have got nothing to do
with the sticking pedal at all," said Antony Anderson, an electronics
consultant in Newcastle-upon-Tyne, England.
Anderson said
electronic throttle controls, which largely have replaced mechanical
accelerators, can malfunction in ways he compared to an occasionally
disobedient child.
"We've all had that type of experience, and
I'm afraid that is the sort of experience that can happen with any
piece of electronics, with an electronic throttle," he said.
And Sean Kane, who runs a company called
Safety Research Strategies in Rehoboth, Massachusetts, said, "Toyota's
explanations do not account for the share of unintended acceleration
complaints that we have examined."
Toyota officials dispute any
assertion that the complicated array of electronics in its cars has an
impact on the acceleration issues that have dominated headlines in the
past weeks.
"After many years of exhaustive testing by us and by
other organizations, we have found no evidence of an electronic problem
in our electronic throttle control systems that could have led to
unwanted acceleration," said John Hanson, Toyota's spokesman on
quality-control issues.
But experts like Anderson say the tests conducted by Toyota are not adequate.
"Those
tests do not reproduce what actually happens in everyday life,"
Anderson said. "They are testing for certain conditions, for certain
standards, but they test, for example, signals one at a time. They
don't do a whole lot of signals altogether. Whereas in a car, you've
got a great cacophony of electromagnetic interference going on all the
time, and you really can't rely on testing of a single frequency at one
time."
As for the U.S. government's testing of Toyota's
problems, the man in charge of the Center For Auto Safety, Clarence
Ditlow, said that a 2007 test on a Lexus -- a Toyota brand -- by the
National Highway Safety and Traffic Administration to find possible
electronic interference was amateurish.
"They didn't do any real
testing," he said. "For all I know, they just took a garage door
opener, pointed it at the engine compartment and snapped it, and that's
electronic interference to see whether or not anything happened. They
closed the hood, and off they went. No problem."
Efforts
to contact the NHTSA in snow-bound Washington were unsuccessful. But
Toyota spokesman Hanson said, "It's very easy to look from outside and
say, 'There is no problem with the pedal.' But this is the problem and
we are fixing it."
Hanson said the company
"invited" further testing and pointed out that NHTSA officials
announced a "fresh look" into the whole area of electromagnetic
testing, not simply limited to Toyota.