After being beaten in his bid to keep his seat, Sen. Arlen Specter
will make the most of the remainder of his term in office, some
observers predict.
"This is not a guy that is going to take his
last several months in the body and coast," said Norm Ornstein, a
congressional scholar at the American Enterprise Institute. "He's going
to live it to the fullest."
Specter became the biggest incumbent
to be beaten in this anti-Washington election year, losing to fellow
Democrat, Rep. Joe Sestak, in Tuesday's primary election in
Pennsylvania. Specter was a Republican for most of his 30 years in the
Senate but switched parties last year after voting with Democrats on
President Obama's stimulus bill.
Specter will re-emerge in the
political stage at the end of June when the Senate Judiciary Committee,
on which he serves on and previously chaired, will hold confirmation
hearings for Supreme Court nominee Elena Kagan.
"Certainly you're
going to see Specter throw himself into the nomination confirmation
hearings for Kagan and other significant confirmation battles if there
are any," Ornstein said.
Erin McPike, a congressional reporter
for National Journal, said Specter will set the tone for the
confirmation debate and "leave a legacy in that way."
"A lot of
these hearings have gotten incredible attention," she said. "I think
Specter will want to write that impression and be a leading voice as he
leaves."
And it's unlikely, an expert said, that he will actively
go against Kagan, who is currently the country's solicitor general.
"Having switched sides, he's been pretty much of a team player,"
said Alan Abramowitz, a professor of political science at Emory
University. "Of course you might say that since he's lost a primary, it
kind of frees him up to do whatever he wants. But I'd still would not
expect to see him opposing Kagan."
After meeting with Kagan
recently, Specter called her a "good candidate" possessing excellent
credentials -- though wouldn't say how he would vote.
But his recent comments come after he
voted against Kagan during her solicitor general hearings -- criticizing
her for not answering questions about her legal beliefs. That vote
became an issue in his campaign against Sestak.
Specter also will
likely play an influential role in getting the Democrats' future
legislative items passed.
Ornstein said that the senator likely
will immerse himself in the remaining debates on jobs, financial reform
and even the climate-change bill which was recently introduced in the
Senate.
"I could also imagine him stepping in and getting a
little more involved with the energy/climate-change issue -- things
where you're looking for people in the center who can bring others
together," Ornstein said.
And don't expect Specter to go rogue
against his party, Abramowitz added.
"I wouldn't expect to see
his voting record to change at this point," he said. "Having switched
parties, I would expect him to continue pretty much voting with most of
the Democrats in the Senate for the rest of the time that he's there."
For his part, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid has had nothing but
praise for Specter -- noting his vital support in passing the
Democratic-backed health care reform legislation in the Senate, which
was later signed into law.
"I'm sure we'll keep hearing from him
because he's obviously still active and involved in what's going on
around him," Abramowitz said. "He's not ready to move into a nursing
home."
Specter may also take a page out of Sen. Chris Dodd's
playbook, after the Connecticut senator announced earlier this year that
he will not seek re-election.
Dodd, as chairman of the Senate
Banking Committee, has played a key role in getting the Wall Street
reform bill through the committees. The fight now is to get the bill,
which was passed by the House, to the Senate floor for a vote. A vote to
end debate and bring the bill to a vote failed on Wednesday.
Unlike
Dodd, Specter does not have the seniority he once had after becoming a
Democrat. In essence, the move jousted him from the seniority he
received as a Republican and dropped him to the status of a junior
member of the Senate amongst Democrats.
"I don't think he's
[Specter] in a position to have as big an impact on these debates right
now being a relatively junior member of the party despite all his years
of experience," Abramowitz said. "Again, it's hard for him to help set
the agenda or even shape the legislation except on virtue on having his
one vote."
But it's his relationships with fellow senators that
may help him garner support behind one of his pet projects.
"Knowing that he's going after this long career,
you're going to have some people try and be sensitive to the things he
wants to do now, recognizing it's his last chance to do them," Ornstein
said.