Beating on Wall Street makes political sense these days. The public
is furious that big banks and Wall Street firms are once again making
pots of money while Main Street suffers through 10% unemployment. With
year-end bonuses soon to be handed out to financial executives, Obama
and the White House need to be seen to be on the side of the little
guy.
So expect a healthy dose of political posturing before, during and
after the
President's meeting with top bankers Monday. "It's a p.r. stunt,"
says an executive at one of the banks that will be getting a
dressing-down
at the White House meeting. Executives from Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan
Chase, Bank of America and Wells Fargo are expected to be among those
in attendance.
Even Administration officials privately admit
that politics played a role in calling the meeting, and President Obama's harsh words for bankers on Sunday's 60 Minutes
program reinforced the notion. During an interview on the CBS show the
President said he didn't run
for office "to be helping out a bunch of fat-cat bankers on Wall
Street," adding that "people on Wall Street still don't get it."
But Obama's bank-bashing is about more than politics. The President
has real problems only the banks can help him solve. On jobs, housing
and the strength of the economy, he needs bankers to change their
behavior, and there's only so much he can do to force them. So when he
sits
down with the financial industry élite on Monday, he may talk tough,
but he'll also be asking for their help.
For many in the Administration the biggest economic concern is the
country's stubbornly high unemployment. The best way to attack that
problem is to
stimulate small-business growth, but that won't happen as long as banks
sharply limit lending to smaller companies. For their part, bankers
feel they are responding prudently to a tough economy by tightening
loan standards across the board. And while some of the biggest banks
are healthy enough to pay back the government's emergency loans made
from the Troubled Asset Relief Program, many smaller banks remain in
crisis. So far this year the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation has
shut down 133 banks that succumbed to a tidal wave of loan defaults.
"Given the state of the markets there's only so much we can do," to
increase lending while limiting risk says one industry official.
So Obama will alternately threaten and plead with
banks to open their purse strings. "One of the main messages from this
meeting is that the financial industry received extraordinary help from the
government — and ultimately the taxpayer — and now the industry has an
obligation to help the small-business owners," says White House spokesperson
Jen Psaki.
The housing crisis, too, is a political sore point. Last week Treasury
announced the initial results of its program to rewrite troubled
residential loans. So far, of the
more than 3 million past due loans at banks participating in the
government's $75 billion loan-modification program, just slightly more
than 30,000 have been permanently adjusted so the mortgage holders can
make
lower, government-subsidized payments. That means millions of troubled
homeowners and millions of potential bad loans still on banks' books,
perpetuating the uncertainties and fears that can undermine any
economic recovery. Obama wants the banks to move faster to rewrite the
loans.
Obama will also criticize the banks for trying to derail financial-regulation
reform, which passed the House last week but faces multiple battles after
Christmas in the Senate. And he'll scold them for continuing to distribute
high bonuses, especially when they reward excessive risk-taking. The senior
bank executive at one of the banks meeting with the President Monday
describes the process as a "public spanking" and says other than the public
humiliation the Administration has little leverage.
Obama has made some attempts to play hardball with Wall Street, however.
Last summer, JPMorgan tried to lowball the Administration on warrants it
wanted to buy back from the government. JPMorgan's chief, Jamie Dimon,
called Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner in July personally to pressure
him to sell at the low price. Geithner held out and auctioned the warrants
off last week for tens of millions more than Dimon had offered, sources
familiar with the negotiations tell TIME.
Obama and Geithner have a long list of penalties they can impose if
the
banks don't do a better job of lending to small businesses or modifying
home
loans. And Obama's pay czar, Kenneth Feinberg, could target the bank's
bonuses with what the
senior bank executive calls a "crazy" pay restriction like the one
Britain
passed last week. But the banks are expert at staying just on the right
side
of the Administration's guidelines for lending, and they have many
friends
on the Hill who can help defuse a movement to punish the banks. Which
is why Obama's weapon of choice for now will be trying to shame the
banks into better behavior. Which has the benefit of making political
sense, as well.